
I love reading the stuff conservative columnists put out there. It gives you a pretty good idea as to what the neocons next "game" is going to be about. Jeff Jacoby of Boston Globe for example recently wrote a very interesting piece, called "Where's the smoking gun?". Although at first it may sound like he is questioning the rationale used by the Washington hawks to start a war (and open a huge can of worms) in Iraq, it is actually a piece to the contrary. Jacoby's basic argument can be summed up this way; so what if we never find any WMD's in Iraq or that they may have actually been honest about destroying what they had. As he says: "It was not to find a ''smoking gun'' that the United States went to war. It was to crush one of the bloodiest tyrannies the modern world has known." (continued...)
American politicians are very lucky. Lucky that their constituents have very brief attention spans and short memories. Wasn't it our Secretary of State, Mr. Colin Powell that addressed the United Nation's Security Council in an attempt to gain their approval of this invasion based on Iraq's violation of Resolution 1441, a resolution to "disarm Iraq of its weapons of mass destruction"? First he played the tape of "two senior officers" discussing how to hide their WMD's. The he claimed "We also have satellite photos that indicate that banned materials have recently been moved from a number of Iraqi weapons of mass destruction facilities." He even showed satellite pictures of a "weapons munitions factory" and even "chemical bunkers", these were bunkers that "indicate the presence of sure signs that the bunkers are storing chemical munitions" equipped with everything including "decontamination vehicles" (where did the vehicles go?). He then quoted unknown sources to clain existance of "mobile production facilities". There was also modified "aerial fuel tanks for Mirage jets" filmed while spraying "2,000 liters of simulated anthrax" as well as "spray tanks to be mounted onto a MiG-2". Let's not forget "chemical complex called "Al Musayyib", many with pictures and/or video and audio tapes.
Powell then moved to "weaponry": "550 artillery shells with mustard, 30,000 empty munitions and enough precursors to increase his stockpile to as much as 500 tons of chemical agents." and "6500 bombs from the Iran-Iraq War". 25,000 liters of Anthrax and "four tons of the deadly nerve agent VX". Powell also said ""Our conservative estimate is that Iraq has stockpiles of between 100 and 500 tons of chemical weapons agent ... enough to fill 16,000 battlefield rockets" and "equipment that can filter and separate microorganisms and toxins involved in biological weapons; equipment that can be used to concentrate the agent; growth media that can be used to continue producing anthrax and botulinum toxin; sterilization equipment for laboratories; glass-lined reactors and specialty pumps that can handle corrosive chemical weapons agents and precursors; large amounts of thionyl chloride, a precursor for nerve and blister agents; and other chemicals such as sodium sulfide, an important mustard agent precursor." The list went on.
Then came the nuclear weapons (!!) and a very scary slide to show the range of his missiles. Not the ones he has, but the ones he may develop. The ones that could easily reach Israel (oh no!), test facilities, his "unmanned aerial vehicles", and of course Iraq's connection to terrorists, particularly Al-Qaeda operatives. and on and on and on...
So, where are all these equipment, weapons, tankers full of nasty stuff, sprayer tankers, decontamination vehicles, modified planes, chemical bunkers and factories? Apparently we can't find them! With all our "solid sources", satellite pictures and sophisticated equipment, we haven't been able to find a fraction of all this. Sounds strange and the hawks know it too. Accordingly the campaign to downplay all these accusations has already started. Jacoby's article is just another piece of this carefully crafted public relations campaign to muddy the waters and hide the deception we were all sold.
As if Powell knew it back then already he tried several times during his address to gain some credibility. Reminded me of when as a kid we'd swear to anything, as long as we knew it may prevent a parent's fury. This is him, doing just that: "Ladies and gentlemen, these are not assertions. These are facts corroborated by many sources, some of them sources of the intelligence services of other countries." and then "My colleagues, every statement I make today is backed up by sources, solid sources. These are not assertions. What we are giving you are facts and conclusions based on solid intelligence. I will cite some examples, and these are from human sources". Doesn't he already sound like a liar?
Well, he probably is.
Read the following exchange from the Nightline with Ted Koppel television show, with Koppel interviewing James Woolsey, ex-chief of the CIA (with some possible role in the new Iraq administration??) on this very topic:
TED KOPPEL: The only problem I have with the, the nexus among those, those three categories that you cite is that one of the categories, which would seem to be the most important one, the weapons of mass destruction, hasn't yet materialized.
JAMES WOOLSEY: Well, I think we have to realize that the weapons of mass destruction that they find could be a few petri dishes. We've never been looking in this case for things, big things like nuclear reactors. It's all canisters of VX nerve gas or vials of anthrax. And the only way we're ever going to find this, since most of anything that's left is almost certainly buried very secretly, is by what we tried to get Hans Blix to do and he never did, question people who were engaged in the program, the weapons programs.
TED KOPPEL: When you talk, Mr. Woolsey, as you do, about the odd petri dish here or there, that's not quite consistent with that compelling argument that the Secretary of State made before the UN Security Council where, indeed, he was talking about hundreds, if not thousands, of tons of this material that was out there. Where is it?
JAMES WOOLSEY: Well, that was all indicated by the inspectors in 1998. Because, they had evidence based on Saddam's, on the biological weapons program, Saddam's son-in-law's defection, the son-in-law that he eventually killed, of manufacture of thousands of liters of anthrax and other, weapons.
TED KOPPEL: But as you remember, the Secretary of State was making a compelling argument that this wasn't just based on old information, that we had fresh information that indicated that that material existed. Where is it?
JAMES WOOLSEY: We had current evidence of several French trucks that had been turned into biological weapons laboratories. Much of this may have been destroyed in the days, at the beginning of the war. That one can't change history but one probably can find evidence of what still exists, which I imagine is some of the weapons and what they destroyed and how they destroyed it. I think this will come out as we get access to more and more of these scientists and technicians who were part of the program.
TED KOPPEL: If indeed it turns out that the weapons either did not exist or were destroyed before the war began, should there be a trace of embarrassment? Or does the new justification serve anyway?
JAMES WOOLSEY: Not at all. I think there will be evidence that there were substantial biological and chemical weapons stocks, some after '98 and before the war. And exactly when they were destroyed, possibly right at the beginning of the war, I think shouldn't affect this at all. I think that it is, I think the Administration deserves credit in this for being pretty careful about what they said. And the Secretary of State's presentation before the Security Council was a careful presentation. If the Iraqis destroyed much of that in the opening days of the war, so be it. We'll find some evidence to that effect.
What do you think?
If they finally do find WMD, many people, including myself, will claim that it was planted there. Even a U.S. senator (Sen. Levin) just mentioned that when the U.S finds WMD in Iraq, there will be a credibility issue, and some will think that the US planted them; well, Duhhh!!! With U.S banning the U.N inspectors back in Iraq, I won't expect people to think anything else.
U.S seems to need help in finding a single WMD; now they even say that have no clue where they are! It makes you wonder whatever happened to all the "detailed information" about where WMD were, and the fact that they were "clear and present danger" and were "in significant quantities". This war was based on false premises.
I wrote about similar issue on my weblog 20 days ago; check it out:
http://www.hafezia.com/weblog/archives/2003_04_06_archive.html
Bush & Co. sold the war disingeniously, but toppling Saddam on the basis of the long-term WMD threat was correct. I wasn't sure of this until I did some research on what the UNSCOM inspectors had to say about Iraq's WMDs. Basically, all the major UNSCOM inspectors agree on several things:
1) After Gulf War 1, Iraq was 6 months away from fielding nuclear weapons.
2) From 1991 to 1998, UNSCOM successfully removed >90% of Iraq's WMD and WMD manufacturing capability.
3) During that time, Hussein's regime were as deceitful and deceptive as possible. UNSCOM will never know if they got rid of all of Hussein's WMD.
4) UNSCOM failed to rid Iraq of the nuclear plans, documents, blueprints, and scientists it had accumulated during Saddam's rule. With that material, Iraq could completely rebuild its nuclear program within 3-4 years after UN sanctions are lifted. Further, if Iraq was able to acquire weapons-grade uranium or plutonium from the black market, they have the knowledge and capability to field a nuclear weapon within 1 year.
There are too many links to post, but it's all easy to find. Just Google "David Albright Bulletin of Atomic Scientists", "Scott Ritter PBS interview", "Rolf Ekeus", "Hans Blix", "Richard Butler PBS interview".
This war was never specifically about ridding Iraq of actual WMD, UNSCOM already did that. This war was about reinstating the failing policy of nonproliferation. Nonproliferation became a driving force in global diplomacy immediately after the USSR disintegrated, but languished in the 90s. During the 90s, India and Pakistan went nuclear, Iraq almost went nuclear, North Korea is essentially nuclear, Iran is on the way, Al Quaeda was working on it, and who knows what other rogue nations or groups are seeking WMD capability in the black market.
9/11 showed the US that our traditional deterrents can't work. MAD - Mutually Assured Destruction - does not deter religious fanatics intent on dying anyway, and taking as many people as possible with them. Add to that mix nukes or chem/bio weapons in the hands of terrorists or loonies like Kim Jong Il and it should be obvious that America only has two choices in the matter: Either allow non-proliferation to fail, retreat into fortress America, and sacrifice more and more of our freedoms, civil rights, and way of life for security against WMD; or give nonproliferation policy some teeth, take out Saddam, reform Iraq, and use that as leverage to apply nonproliferation more strongly to Iran, North Korea, and any other states trying to get WMD.
It's unfortunate that Bush didn't actually sell the war with that reasoning, as it is sound and backed by UNSCOM itself. Instead he resorted to simplistic arguments of "liberation", which was a lie b/c America doesn't go to war to liberate a mere 24 million people, rather that was just a nice fringe benefit. And it wasn't about ridding Iraq of current WMD's, as Bush also claimed, as UNSCOM made it clear that they had already ridded Iraq of nearly all weapons and manufacturing capability. Why he couldn't just explain the truth of the matter I don't know, but it's done now and most likely for the better. Nonproliferation policy now has the full diplomatic and military support of the US, and not a day too soon.
Posted by: Byron at April 29, 2003 08:09 AMOne of the things that convinced me about the Iraq war was reading Hans Blix's report. As much as a bunch of scientists will ever commit to anything, it said "Iraq has WMD".
It also admitted the only reason they were getting any cooperation at all was the presence of US troops on the doorstep.
You can read the report here, and make up your own mind: 12th Quarterly Report
Unresolved Issues Report
Byron, that was the clearest explanation of why the US went to war as I've ever heard. I've supported the war since 9/12, but not out of any sense of fealty to Bush, whom I didn't vote for and never will, nor out of any enmity to Arabs and Muslims. No, Bush didn't explain the way you did, but he and his advisors were saying the same things in their closed door briefings, I'm sure. Unfortuately, the average American lacks the "fund of information" and historical knowledge necessary to fully grasp your line of reasoning. For the hoi polloi, Bush resorted to bumper sticker sloganeering. That's where WMD, axis of evil, and "they hate freedom" come from. Just enough truth to pass the public sniff test, but far too shallow to fully justify war.
Posted by: Milwauken at April 30, 2003 02:03 PMIran-Canada - We know Sadaam had WMDs. He used them against Iran, and the UN concluded that he still had them after Gulf War I. My question to you: why do you supposed he didn't have them last year, when he was obstructing the UN inspectors? Either Sadaam was the dumbest dictator ever, or he really was hiding something. The US always needed help finding WMDs, and the UN recognized that 12 years ago when they ordered that Iraq disarm. There's no way the weapons could be found without the cooperaton of the people who put them there, as long as Sadaam was intent on hiding them. Whatever intelligence Powell was presenting the UN regarding WMDs, he never claimed to know exactly where they were. If he did, the US would tip off the inspectors to go locate them, by which time they would be moved or destroyed anyway. The war was not based on "false premises."
Posted by: Milwauken at May 1, 2003 11:29 AMSorry but your IAEA report about Iraq being "6 months away from nukes" was actually false. No such report existed...*ever*. And the IAEA made that very clear. Just another example of Bush & Co's chain of lies...
Posted by: Sammy at May 16, 2003 12:07 AM